NSSO Employment Survey Analysis
July 14, 2013 2 Comments
I was reading the news article today which hinted that there is a Job Crisis in the rural areas for women and they have lost 9.1 mn jobs in 2 years. Another link to the article can be found here. The number seemed astonishingly high. The data from the NSSO survey is:
2009-10 |
Labour Force Participation Rate |
Presently Unemployed |
||
Men |
Women |
Men |
Women |
|
Rural |
548 |
208 |
11 |
5 |
Urban |
556 |
128 |
17 |
9 |
2011-12 |
Labour Force Participation Rate |
Presently Unemployed |
||
Men |
Women |
Men |
Women |
|
Rural |
547 |
181 |
12 |
5 |
Urban |
560 |
134 |
18 |
9 |
Interesting results can be seen above –
- The Labour Force Participation Rate (LFPR) has fallen down for women from 208 / thousand to 181 / thousand for the rural areas. This implies that lesser number of women are wanting to work as LFPR signifies number of people looking for work.
- The unemployment rate for women has remained unchanged in both rural and urban areas. The unemployment rate for men has however increased in both rural as well as urban areas signifying the crisis is for men and not women.
Let us analyze the data in millions –
2009-10 |
Projected Population (Mn) |
Labour Force Participation (Mn) |
Presently Unemployed (Mn) |
|||
Men |
Women |
Men |
Women |
Men |
Women |
|
Rural |
400.8 |
379.1 |
232.2 |
83.3 |
4.5 |
2 |
Urban |
164.7 |
148.3 |
102.2 |
21.3 |
3.1 |
1.5 |
2011-12 |
Projected Population (Mn) |
Labour Force Participation (Mn) |
Presently Unemployed (Mn) |
|||
Men |
Women |
Men |
Women |
Men |
Women |
|
Rural |
423.9 |
400.9 |
236 |
74.2 |
5 |
2.2 |
Urban |
183.8 |
165.5 |
111.8 |
25 |
3.6 |
1.6 |
Interesting results can be seen above –
- The number of women desirous of working has fallen from 104.6 mn in 2009-10 to 99.2 mn in 2011-12.
- The total unemployment for men has increased from 7.6 mn in 2009-10 to 8.6 mn in 2011-12 as compared to women unemployment at 3.5 mn to 3.8 mn during the same time. Ie. Men unemployment increased by 1 mn as compared to women’s increase in unemployment by 0.3 mn.
- Men are 3.33 times unemployed than women.
- Total unemployed women in both rural as well as urban areas is 3.8 mn (2.2 rural + 1.6 urban), then how come 9.1 mn rural women have lost jobs as stated in the news reports?
Do feel free to comment and let me know for whom is the job crisis for?
__________
Sources:
- Key Indicators of Employment and Unemployment in India (2009-10): NSS 66th Round – Page 20 and 21.
- Key Indicators of Employment and Unemployment in India (2011-12): NSS 68th Round – Page 26 and 27.
- Usual Principal Status approach data has been used in the analysis above.
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I think we need analysis on what types of jobs are getting lost. One thing is for sure that our outside development is not true indicator of our progress. Specially when we see in development terms we are globally retarding. I have a feeling that the number of jobs lost is greater than the number of jobs created. Need to analyze education data too. One PSLV launched doesn’t put India in the group of elite countries
Partha, as per the data, jobs are not getting lost. The total number of jobs have increased from about 427.9 mn to about 434.6 mn during the above time period.